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Looking at the new season
2006-07 RECORD: 20-16, 5-11, TIED FOR 10TH IN ACC - COACH: SIDNEY LOWE (SECOND SEASON, 20-16 AT N.C. STATE)
PLUS
* Sophomore forward Brandon Costner, who led the team with a 16.8 scoring average, emerged as one of the best players in the conference, and country, especially at the ACC Tournament and in the NIT. Sidney Lowe expertly used Costner's skills both inside and out, depending on the matchup.
* At 6 feet 10, junior forward Ben McCauley might be the best passer in the ACC.
* Lowe isn't one to effuse, but he's impressed by freshman forward/center J.J. Hickson, a McDonald's All American.
MINUS
* With Engin Atsur, only UNC was better than State last season. Without Atsur, only Miami was worse. Atsur is gone, leaving a void not only at point guard but behind the 3-point line.
* Rebounding was a continual problem in Lowe's first season. State ranked last in the ACC in rebounding margin at minus-1.4.
BEST-CASE SCENARIO
Gavin Grant is using the words "final" and "four" in the same sentence. For that to happen, a point guard must emerge and rebounding must improve.
WORST-CASE SCENARIO
The point guard play remains a season-long puzzle, the momentum doesn't carry over from the strong finish and erratic outside shooting dooms State to seven ACC wins and another NIT.
REALISTIC SCENARIO
The talent and coaching are there to win 10 ACC games and reach the second weekend of the NCAA Tournament.
The X factor
BIGGEST NEED
Regardless of who plays the most minutes at point guard -- Farnold Degand, Marques Johnson or Javier Gonzalez -- efficiency will be a must.
WHO WILL FILL IT
Degand will be the starter at the beginning of the season, but he has not played competitive basketball in two years. He was redshirted as a freshman at Iowa State, then transferred to NCSU.
FANTASY LEAGUE PICK
UNC point guard Ty Lawson. If the Pack had Lawson's blend of quickness, ballhandling and experience, it could be a national championship contender given the talent and depth at the other four positions.
More ACC Preview
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