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Looking at the new season
2006-07 RECORD: 31-7, 11-5, TIED FOR FIRST IN ACC - COACH: ROY WILLIAMS (FIFTH SEASON, 106-30 AT UNC)
PLUS
* Experience, size, speed, depth, motivation, coaching, tradition, free-throw shooting, defense, rebounding, passing, officiating. Just kidding on that last one, folks, just kidding. But really, the Tar Heels don't have many deficiencies.
* Junior forward Tyler Hansbrough spent the summer improving his quickness, agility and working on basket-facing offensive moves -- all areas that will help him get better prepared for the NBA. "He'll be more of a leader, too," coach Roy Williams said.
MINUS
* Can anyone on this team sink a 17-foot jump shot under pressure? Remember, Reyshawn Terry and Wes Miller are gone, meaning that Wayne Ellington, Ty Lawson and Danny Green need to step up when the time comes that an opponent either gets Hansbrough in foul trouble or simply finds a way to deny him the ball.
BEST-CASE SCENARIO
A second NCAA title for Ol' Roy in Chapel Hill.
WORST-CASE SCENARIO
A repeat of last season, when the Heels didn't have enough outside shooting to defeat enough quality opponents in the NCAA Tournament.
REALISTIC SCENARIO
Another 30-plus win total and a trip to the Final Four. The Heels are plenty good, of course, but there's no reason to assume they're clearly better than UCLA, Memphis, Georgetown and a small group of other heavies.
The X factor
BIGGEST NEED
Athletic power forward to replace Brandan Wright and take some pressure off All-America Tyler Hansbrough.
WHO WILL FILL IT
Sophmores Deon Thompson and Alex Stepheson.
FANTASY LEAGUE PICK
Clemson's James Mays. The 6-foot-9 senior is a solid rebounder and scorer. He's also disruptive on defense -- like Wright was -- with his long wingspan and shot-blocking ability.
More ACC Preview
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